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The US Dollar is seeing its steepest decline in fifty years, and investment banks forecast continued weakness.
The fiscal position in the United States is deteriorating, with record deficits. Trade policies have also eroded global confidence.
Most foreign holdings of US Treasuries are unhedged against further rises in interest rates, and investors are being repaid in cheaper dollars. Hedging activity will likely surge to protect against further losses to bondholders.
China's central bank is being urged to further reduce its Treasury holdings, already at their lowest level in fifteen years. Increased gold buys and BRI investments to lock down key supply chains are also recommended.
Closing scene, Altai Mountains, Inner Mongolia
Resources and links
Top Gold Producing Countries (2024)
https://www.voronoiapp.com/wealth/-Top-Gold-Producing-Countries-2024-4501
China vs the world: Goods exported in 2023
https://www.instagram.com/p/DM5iq2mPYZ1/
Visualizing All of China’s Trade Partners
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/china-trade-partners/
Morgan Stanley, The Depreciation of the Dollar
https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/us-dollar-declines
China’s trade surplus just keeps growing, as the world prepares for Trump 2.0
About Bank of China
https://www.bocusa.com/about-us
South China Morning Post, Why China’s yuan is forecast to extend gains against the US dollar through 2025
South China Morning Post, Chinese researchers lodge concerns over US debt as Beijing limits exposure
Bloomberg, China’s Stock Rally Has the Makings of a Durable Bull Run
Mirrored - Inside China Business
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