Afraid To Fall Into Russian Trap In Kherson, Ukrainians Risk Being Surrounded In Ugledar
The Prisoner
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The situation remains unchanged on many fronts of Ukraine. Amid the heavy artillery duels, Ukrainian units are trying to advance in small groups, while Russian forces repel the attacks.

In the Kharkov region, Ukrainian units continued their attempts to break towards Makeyevka and Chervonopopovka, but suffered heavy losses of about 170 servicemen. Russian forces also struck Ukrainian units and groups of foreign mercenaries in the Kupyansk region. The losses amounted to more than 110 militants.

In the Kherson region, artillery duels continue. The Ukrainian military attacks with small forces up to a company in strength, in the range of 80 to 250 men per attack. The northern front lines, where Ukrainians are trying to advance to Berislav, remain the main battlefield in the region. On November 1, the deputy head of the Governor of the Kherson region claimed that Ukraine lost about 70 servicemen in the recent attempt of offensive in the area. Ukrainian attacks on the western front lines of the region were also unsuccessful.

Meanwhile, the evacuation of civilians to the eastern bank of the Dnieper river continues. The evacuation zone was expanded to15 km extending from the eastern bank. People are leaving a number of cities on the eastern bank, including Kakhovka, Novaya Kakhovka and Golaya Pristan. The decision was taken due to the risk of Ukrainian attacks on the Kakhovskaya dam and the danger of flooding of coastal areas. The evacuation will also allow the Russian military to create a layered defense along the river. So far, Russian servicemen have not left their positions on the front lines. The Ukrainians have already attempted a large-scale offensive immediately after the evacuation was announced, but suffered heavy losses. Now they are acting more cautiously and are not rushing to attack despite the Russian signals on their alleged retreat across the Dnieper river.

Meanwhile, Russian troops went on the offensive in the Donbas. On the western outskirts of Donetsk, Russian-led forces are driving Ukrainian units out of Maryinka. They advanced on the northern outskirts and took control of the local school No. 3, and are also advancing in the area of Druzhby Avenue in the center of the settlement.

To the south, the Russian military launched an assault on Novomikhailovka and may soon cut off the road leading to Ugledar. At the same time, Russian forces are approaching Ugledar from the southern outskirts. More than half of the village of Pavlovka is under Russian control, including the crossing at the Kashlagach River. Under Ukrainian artillery fire from Ugledar, the Russians continue the mop up operation in the village.

In the case of a further advance of Russian forces, the Ukrainian grouping in Ugledar risks being surrounded and cut off from their supply lines. In this case they will be force to fight on the streets of the besieged city or forced to flee cross country from Russian artillery.

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